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UK economy shrinks again amid fears country already in recession

There are fears the UK economy is already in recession after the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics showed the economy shrank by 0.2%  between July and September as soaring prices hit businesses and households.

The Bank of England has forecast a “very challenging” two-year recession.

David Bharier, Head of Research at the British Chambers of Commerce, said:  “Today’s figures, showing a 0.2% fall in the quarterly estimate for Q3 GDP, as well as a 0.6% fall in monthly GDP, solidify the picture that the economy is moving towards recession, if not already in one. 

“Worryingly, the figures show a decline across all 13 manufacturing sectors tracked by the ONS, with production output overall shrinking by 1.5%. Services as a whole have seen no growth in the quarter. 

“Our research clearly shows that business confidence has fallen significantly in recent months. Inflation, driven by energy costs and supply chain disruption, is by far and away the top factor of concern, wiping out margins for many SMEs. 

“With the Bank of England now forecasting a two-year recession, monetary and fiscal policy need to align to prevent stagflation. 

“The Chancellor’s Autumn Statement must reassure the financial markets after the recent self-inflicted turmoil. But businesses need to see a long-term economic plan that invests in people, skills, and infrastructure and radically improves our trading relationships with key markets, not least across Europe.” 

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