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Economy stutters with extra business costs approaching

The UK economy shrank for the second month in a row in October as concerns about the Budget continued to weigh on confidence.

Official figures from the Office for National Statistics showed a 0.1% drop, despite expectations that the economy would return to growth after a fall in September.

David Bharier, Head of Research at the British Chambers of Commerce, said: “With growth of just 0.1% in the three months to October and an unexpected fall in the monthly GDP, the UK economy was already fragile ahead of recent policy announcements.

“The full impact of the Budget since then is yet to be seen. However, our research has already shown a spike in anxiety over tax and employment policy.

“Many businesses are telling us that increased costs are likely to have an impact on their investment and recruitment plans. Firms of all shapes and sizes are facing tough decisions in early 2025.

“Our recent economic forecast now expects growth of just 0.8% for the whole of 2024. The NICs increase and employment law changes could slow recruitment intentions and household spending.

“The Industrial Strategy due in the spring has the potential to boost business growth for the long-term. Companies are also eager to see Government plans on business rates reform, trade and infrastructure.

“Getting sustained economic growth will only be possible if the environment is right for businesses to invest, recruit and export.”

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